Δημοσίευση

Factors determining different death rates because of the COVID-19 outbreak among countries.

ΤίτλοςFactors determining different death rates because of the COVID-19 outbreak among countries.
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2020
AuthorsFountoulakis, K. N., Fountoulakis N. K., Koupidis S. A., & Prezerakos P. E.
JournalJ Public Health (Oxf)
Volume42
Issue4
Pagination681-687
Date Published2020 Nov 23
ISSN1741-3850
Abstract

BACKGROUND: During the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, all European countries were hit, but mortality rates were heterogenous. The aim of the current paper was to identify factors responsible for this heterogeneity.METHODS: Data concerning 40 countries were gathered, concerning demographics, vulnerability factors and characteristics of the national response. These variables were tested against the rate of deaths per million in each country. The statistical analysis included Person correlation coefficient and Forward Stepwise Linear Regression Analysis (FSLRA).RESULTS: The FSLRA results suggested that 'days since first national death for the implementation of ban of all public events' was the only variable significantly contributing to the final model, explaining 44% of observed variability.DISCUSSION: The current study suggests that the crucial factor for the different death rates because of COVID-19 outbreak was the fast implementation of public events ban. This does not necessarily mean that the other measures were useless, especially since most countries implemented all of them as a 'package'. However, it does imply that this is a possibility and focused research is needed to clarify it, and is in accord with a model of spreading where only a few superspreaders infect large numbers through prolonged exposure.

DOI10.1093/pubmed/fdaa119
Alternate JournalJ Public Health (Oxf)
PubMed ID32728758
PubMed Central IDPMC7454744

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